After a week off, the 2019 NASCAR season proceeds Sunday in Sonoma Raceway for the 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350. NASCAR in Sonoma is a departure from the standard for NASCAR, as the California track is a 12-turn, 2.52-mile road course instead of an oval. For decades, NASCAR would be overrun by road-course specialists when they’d take on these challenges but nowadays top motorists use these events to try and display their versatility. Kevin Harvick won this race 2017 and finished second in 2018 to give him four consecutive finishes of sixth or better at Sonoma. He is the 7-2 favorite in the 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350 chances. Defending champion Martin Truex Jr. is just behind him 9-2, while seven drivers total are recorded at 10-1 or greater. But before you make your own 2019 Toyota/Save Mart selections, make sure to check out the NASCAR in Sonoma predictions and projected leaderboard in the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.
The version is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Last month, it also called Kyle Busch’s enormous win in Bristol. Furthermore, it’d Coca-Cola 600 winner Martin Truex Jr. at its upper two and then nailed Kyle Busch’s win at Pocono.
It also made some enormous calls last year, such as properly projecting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. Additionally, it nailed three of the top four finishers at Michigan and a couple of the top four in the Daytona 500. Anybody who has followed its selections is far up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Sonoma Raceway have been in his blood. His model simulated the 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For NASCAR at Sonoma 2019, we could inform you the version is top on Ryan Blaney, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a long shot at 25-1. The 25-year-old was operating well the past couple seasons. He has finished inside the top 10 at the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup standings the previous two seasons and sits in ninth place right now with four top-five finishes on the year.
Blaney finished ninth at Sonoma two seasons ago and also has a top-10 complete at Watkins Glen, yet another road route on the NASCAR circuit. However, he really proved himself as a road course racer when he won the inaugural road course race at Charlotte last season, which was the final street course race NASCAR ran. If he can put together a comprehensive race on Sunday, he’ll have a great chance to fly up the NASCAR at Sonoma leaderboard.
And a huge shocker: Kevin Harvick, the Vegas favorite at 7-2, makes a strong run but falls short of this title. There are far better values in a wealthy 2019 NASCAR at Sonoma lineup.
Harvick won this event in 2017 and finished second to Truex last year, but he’s had a tough time getting all of the way to the front despite being among the favorites in nearly every race this year. In reality, Harvick hasn’t finished better than fourth place in a race all season and he’s had three finishes outside the top 20 altogether. In his past two road races of the past year at Watkins Glen and Charlotte, he barely was able to crack the top 10, so there are plenty of motives to fade Harvick on Sunday.
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