Bang at it
Bangladesh may have been a bit too Tiger-ish. After gorging on big game – South Africa – into their first excursion, their bellies have been full. Surethey weren’t pleased and even though they swatted a paw now and then against the previous four, they did not have the nous to take down the other scalp.
Against Pakistan that they won’t think success would be regarded as a shock. It’s the standard. Bangladesh have won the previous four and although it could be easy to worry whether they will be straining every sinew, one just needs to have a fundamental understanding of the history of the 2 teams to reckon they will be’at it’.
There are no lack of gun players. Shakib-al-Hasan, the player of the tournament, Tamim Iqbal, Mushfiqur Rahman, Mustafizur Rahman and Mohammad Saifuddin have enhanced their reputations.
Saifuddin, who has been superb with the ball, boshed an unbeaten 51 against India at a gutsy Bangladesh series on Tuesday. The balance of the XI was eye-catching with Mashrafe Mortaza batting at No 9.
Pakistan can well feel aggrieved they have not made it to the semi-finals. They beat England, who seem to be running into form at precisely the ideal time, and New Zealand, who have pipped them on net run rate. Their washed-out battle against South Africa probably robbed them of greatest points, too.
Given New Zealand’s pathetic efforts when they have come up against teams of note, it is not unfair to wish that it was the guys in green who were advancing. Sure, they are sometimes chaotic but that’s exactly why you’d want them there. Who knows what they might have pulled out of the hat?
The recall of Shaheen Afridi is a good example. Maybe if he had been playing from ball one they wouldn’t have missed out. Afridi has taken ten wickets in four games.Lord’s wicket Somewhat tricky
Here are the last 17 first-innings scores at Lord (1/2 denotes game obtained by side batting second or first ): 243-1/285-1/322-1/308-1/153-2/328-1/251-1/309-1/300-1/227-2/220-2/272-2/280-1/246-2/265-1/277-1/235-2. As you can see there is a trend – that the side batting first will have to post 280. Australia razed New Zealand with a lowly 243 but it’s very much par for the course that the New Zealanders fear when they are going to beat their old rivals. The 285 by Australia against England was instructive. At the break it seemed somewhat mild but the wicket does not play true and will hold up.
Price about Tigers
Following Pakistan beat New Zealand an old friend on Twitter asked: how can you predict what Pakistan will do?
It’s pretty easy: never bet them when they are odds on. So we will be providing them a wide berth at no better than 1.57. The 2.66 about Bangladesh is disrespectful awarded their head-to-head edge.
That wobble against Afghanistan from Pakistan tips at complacency if Pakistan reckon things will be easy. Fingers crossed that they’re either smarting concerning the exit, checking flight times or thinking they’re superior.
Imam worth a second follow
Shakib is, unsurprisingly, the hot favorite at 5/2 using Sportsbook for top Bangladesh honours. On two-year data he shouldn’t be short but it is hard to take him on. We have a soft spot for Mushfiqur at 4s. For Pakistan, Imam-ul-Haq’s cost is down and up. As 11/4 jolly he was rated against Afghanistan. After that failure he is now out top 9/2 having been constant at 7/2. He’s got a win rate available on the market on form. For top Pakistan bowler, Afridi gave us a wonderful winner in that game. With a 31% win rate if you can buy 5/2 or better it’s a wager.
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