For the second successive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing at Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). But this time motorists, instead of an shootout ‘ are in for a grueling 600 miles in the Cup Series’ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oblong having a comparatively old surface which has been repaved back in 2006. We saw from the All-Star race that tires failed to make a difference and that track position was also extremely significant, therefore this race should provide a good blend of multiple 1.5-mile tracks.
The latest 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race at Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five at typical green-flag rate all showed up in the top nine at 15-lap speed in Happy Hour, despite the race being during the nighttime and final practice during the day.
We have a similar scenario at Charlotte this weekend, so I will certainly rely on long-run speed along with 1.5-mile performance this season and past Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Armed with these data points, let us get right into my four favorite bets to win tonight’s race, plus bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A quick primer about the odds below: A $100 wager at +375 odds would gain $375, while a $200 bet at -200 chances would cover $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Win Kyle Busch is your favorite thanks to his speed in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this season. It could be argued despite completing 13th on the board in final practice that Harvick should be a co-favorite.
That is because in opening training, he had been considerably better relative to the remainder of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time during the temperatures is encouraging. In fact, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are really sensitive to track changes, and that they had been really great in opening practice during the cooler temperatures.
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